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Tech & AI · KXLLM1 · Resolves Jan 31, 2027

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Showing: Qwen · Resolves Jan 31, 2027
Qwen · 1% chance0Updated just now
Feeds 45m ago · AI summary 5h ago
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OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
5%3%0%
Sep 13Oct 9Oct 13

Stats

Volume$1.0M
24h volume$591
Open interest$646.7K
Days left80
Bid / ask1¢ / 1¢
Last1¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Claude42%▼ 2Yes 42¢ No 58¢
Gemini40%▲ 1Yes 40¢ No 60¢
ChatGPT12%▲ 1Yes 12¢ No 88¢
Grok4%0Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Muse Spark3%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Qwen1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

AI Predictions

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Why it moved AI

  • VentureBeat: Alibaba's AI video model rises to No. 2 in global rankings, as OpenAI's Sora and ByteDance's Seedance fall away
  • Startup Fortune: Alibaba's voice AI cracks global top 5
Generated from news and X posts below · 5h ago

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If Alibaba has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.