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Fed & Economy · KXRATECUT · Resolves 1/1/2027

Fed rate cut before 2027?

5%0Updated 7 min agoKalshi Yes · Cuts
Feeds 46m · summary 2h

Forecast

10%5%0%Oct 4Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$1.5M
24h volume$726
Open interest$555.4K
Days left82
Bid / ask4¢ / 5¢
Last5¢

Why it moved AI

  • Recent move is unstated; cited items include no CPI, PCE, jobs print, or fresh FedSpeak.
  • ABC News: economists are split on whether the Fed raises rates this year.
  • AP and Al Jazeera: Trump opened a probe of Governor Lisa Cook and seeks to fire her.
  • CNBC: a NY Fed finding says tariffs drove inflation on many everyday items.
Generated from news and X posts below · 2h ago

News

fortune.com ·
Current refi mortgage rates report for Oct . 2 , 2026

Current refi mortgage rates report for Oct . 2 , 2026

ibtimes.com.au ·
Nikkei Tops 70 , 000 at Close , Hits Three - Month High as Wall Street Rally and Cheaper Oil Lift Tokyo Stocks

Nikkei Tops 70 , 000 at Close , Hits Three - Month High as Wall Street Rally and Cheaper Oil Lift Tokyo Stocks

ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos · 23h
Will the Fed raise interest rates this year? Divided economists weigh in - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

Will the Fed raise interest rates this year? Divided economists weigh in  ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

Al Jazeera · 1d
Trump launches probe into Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook - Al Jazeera

Trump launches probe into Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook  Al Jazeera

AP News · 2d
Trump establishes committee to investigate Federal Reserve's Lisa Cook in latest effort to fire her - AP News

Trump establishes committee to investigate Federal Reserve's Lisa Cook in latest effort to fire her  AP News

Federal Reserve · 2d
Federal Reserve Board releases results of the 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances, which provides the public and policymakers with detailed insights into the economic condition of American families

Federal Reserve Board releases results of the 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances, which provides the public and policymakers with detailed insights into the economic condition of American families

Federal Reserve · 2d
Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering

Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering

CNBC Economy · 3d
Inflation on many everyday items was entirely due to tariffs, NY Fed says

Tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to inflation in 67 categories of goods by February 2026, researchers at the New York Federal Reserve found.

Scotsman Guide · 3d
Fed policymakers saw multiple 2026 rate hikes as likely, September FOMC minutes show - Scotsman Guide

Fed policymakers saw multiple 2026 rate hikes as likely, September FOMC minutes show  Scotsman Guide

CNBC Economy · 3d
Inflation fears on the rise as one-year outlook in Fed survey hits highest level since May 2023

The Survey of Consumer Expectations indicated that the median outlook for inflation over the next 12 months rose to 3.9%.

ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos · 3d
Federal Reserve officials expect another rate hike will be needed this year, according to minutes - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

Federal Reserve officials expect another rate hike will be needed this year, according to minutes  ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

Federal Reserve · 4d
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, September 15-16, 2026

Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, September 15-16, 2026

24/7 Wall St. · 4d
Trump Told the Fed to Cut Rates. It Raised Them - 24/7 Wall St.

Trump Told the Fed to Cut Rates. It Raised Them  24/7 Wall St.

Federal Reserve · 5d
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Isabella Bank Corporation

Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Isabella Bank Corporation

Federal Reserve · 8d
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Fleur Capital Corporation

Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Fleur Capital Corporation

Chase Bank · 13d
What makes the Federal Reserve decide to raise or lower interest rates? - Chase Bank

What makes the Federal Reserve decide to raise or lower interest rates?  Chase Bank

Forbes · Sep 16
Federal Funds Rate History 1990 to 2026 - Forbes

Federal Funds Rate History 1990 to 2026  Forbes

AP News · Sep 16
Federal Reserve hikes key rate for 1st time in 3 years, defying Trump demands for a cut - AP News

Federal Reserve hikes key rate for 1st time in 3 years, defying Trump demands for a cut  AP News

ABC7 Eyewitness News · Sep 15
Federal Reserve is expected to raise its benchmark rate, defying Trump's demands - ABC7 Eyewitness News

Federal Reserve is expected to raise its benchmark rate, defying Trump's demands  ABC7 Eyewitness News

ABC7 San Francisco · Jul 29
Federal Reserve leaves interest rate unchanged in 9-3 vote - ABC7 San Francisco

Federal Reserve leaves interest rate unchanged in 9-3 vote  ABC7 San Francisco

X Feed

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@kylericebowl · 1h

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@federalreserve · 1h

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@LukeLeslie625 · 2h

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@grok · 2h

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@Aesop_NPV · 2h

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XL
@post · 2h

**Recent X posts (mostly from early October 2026) on Federal Reserve, FOMC, rate decisions, inflation, and related topics from or mentioning the specified accounts show a mix of official references, historical context, criticism, and market analysis.**[[1]](https://x.com/LukeLeslie625/status/2108632258622189635) Key themes include: - **FOMC actions and minutes**: Multiple references to a recent u

AG
@agentfloor · 2h

@agentfloor

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@thedave2006 · 3h

@thedave2006

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@TomLeeTracker · 3h

@TomLeeTracker

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Rules

If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will close and determine on the first 10 AM ET following the occurrence of the event if the event occurs prior to the target date.