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US Senate · SENATEMT · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Montana Senate?

Showing: Seth Bodnar · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Seth Bodnar · 7% chance▼ 1Updated just now
Feeds 2h ago · No AI summary yet

Forecast

12%8%3%
Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$238.7K
24h volume$488
Open interest$121.2K
Days left388
Bid / ask6¢ / 8¢
Last7¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Kurt Alme93%▼ 1Yes 93¢ No 7¢
Seth Bodnar7%▼ 1Yes 7¢ No 93¢
Alani Bankhead1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below

News

The Hill · 8h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

CNN · Sep 23
'We are gaining momentum.' Montana Independent Senate candidate thinks he can beat a Democrat and a Republican

'We are gaining momentum.' Montana Independent Senate candidate thinks he can beat a Democrat and a

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If Seth Bodnar (as an Independent) is sworn in as a Senator of Montana for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.