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US Senate · SENATEMT · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Montana Senate?

Showing: Seth Bodnar · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Seth Bodnar · 7% chance▲ 1Updated 10 min ago
Feeds 46m ago · AI summary 2h ago

Forecast

12%8%3%
Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$238.9K
24h volume$697
Open interest$121.0K
Days left388
Bid / ask5¢ / 8¢
Last5¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Kurt Alme94%0Yes 94¢ No 6¢
Seth Bodnar7%▲ 1Yes 7¢ No 93¢
Alani Bankhead1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • Independent candidate Seth Bodnar says he is gaining momentum to beat both major parties in Montana Senate race (CNN)
  • Independent PAC backing Bodnar has spent at least $5.8M on TV attacking Democratic nominee (PatrickSvitek)
  • Montana Democrat refusing to drop out may spoil party’s Senate hopes (Washington Post)
  • Bodnar campaign focuses on defining independent identity (KPAX News)
Generated from news and X posts below · 2h ago