| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico | 62% | ▼ 1 | Yes 62¢ No 38¢ |
| Ken Paxton | 39% | ▲ 1 | Yes 39¢ No 61¢ |
A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...
Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...
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Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...
 
Who do latest polls show win
Democratic lawmakers pushed back Friday on President Trump’s decision to lift sanctions on Russian oil amid global fuel shortages during U.S. military operations against Iran and the Russia-Ukraine war. The deal will permit Russian President Vladimir Putin’s government to supply 300,000 tons of diesel to the U.S. and the global marketplace. “I have just concluded...
GOP gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman hasn’t hesitated to tie himself to the president.
It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.
It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.
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The New
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Cook moved 18 House races toward Democrats on Friday, and the Senate is a coin flip. Forecasts don't vote. Republicans who want to keep the Senate better quit reading ratings and start knocking doors.
Open on X@PpollingNumbers @Politics_Polls @PollTracker2024 Just completed a survey from @atlas_intel for the NC Senate race 👀👀👀
Open on XRepublicans lead in future ad reservations in 7 of the 8 Senate races @CookPolitical rates as Toss Up or Lean. #IASen is the exception. #OHSen: 🔴$56.0M 🔵$43.1M #TXSen: 🔴$51.5M 🔵$4.9M #IASen: 🔵$28.9M 🔴$25.4M #MESen: 🔴$25.5M 🔵$22.7M #MISen: 🔴$31.0M 🔵$17.0M #NHSen: 🔴$12.0M 🔵$11.6M #AKSen: 🔴$10.4M 🔵$10.1M #KSSen: 🔴$12.8M 🔵$4.5M
Open on XDDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Texas Senate 🟦 James Talarico: 56% 🟥 Ken Paxton: 44% Talarico has expanded his lead to 2.7 points in the DDHQ polling average. If Democrats flip Texas, their chance of controlling the Senate is 76%.
Open on XTexas Senate Polling by NYT/Siena (A+) June 🟥 Paxton: 47% 🟦 Talarico: 47% October 🟦 Talarico: 51% 🟥 Paxton: 45% Net 6 point swing towards Talarico
Open on XTexas - Senate Polling: 🔵 Talarico: 47% 🔴 Paxton: 45% Big Data / Sept 26, 2026 (Republican Pollster) (Current TX-SEN model result is DEM 51% - GOP 48%) https://unitedstatespolling.com/p/republicans-are-in-full-midterm-panic
Open on XIf a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.