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Ken Paxton 39%James Talarico 61%Los Angeles D 43%Republican Party 40%Milwaukee 27%Democratic Party 61%Cleveland 11%Tampa Bay 22%
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US Senate · SENATETX · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Texas Senate?

Showing: James Talarico · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
James Talarico · 61% chance▼ 2Updated 4 min ago
Feeds 10m ago · AI summary 2h ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
71%60%48%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$9.6M
24h volume$370.9K
Open interest$6.5M
Days left388
Bid / ask60¢ / 61¢
Last61¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
James Talarico61%▼ 2Yes 61¢ No 39¢
Ken Paxton39%▲ 1Yes 39¢ No 61¢

Why it moved AI

  • AP News outlines 2026 Senate races to watch, no Texas focus.
  • Politico notes $5M Dem spend in Kansas Senate race.
  • Newsweek cites Nate Silver national Senate forecast at new high.
Generated from news and X posts below · 2h ago