| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.1% | 99% | ▲ 3 | Yes 99¢ No 1¢ |
| Above 2.2% | 97% | ▲ 1 | Yes 97¢ No 3¢ |
| Above 2.3% | 85% | ▼ 1 | Yes 85¢ No 15¢ |
| Above 2.4% | 47% | ▼ 1 | Yes 47¢ No 53¢ |
| Above 2.5% | 8% | ▼ 5 | Yes 8¢ No 92¢ |
| Above 2.8% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
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Researchers found that while wealth disparities narrowed somewhat, the ability to meet debt payments deteriorated significantly.
September CPI should be in line, and last month’s Fed rate hike may be th
Tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to inflation in 67 categories of goods by February 2026, researchers at the New York Federal Reserve found.
The Survey of Consumer Expectations indicated that the median outlook for inflation over the next 12 months rose to 3.9%.
Research links ICE enforcement surges to lasting declines in local spending, foot traffic and jobs. In Minneapolis, businesses are still recovering.
No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.8% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.