| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.25% | 98% | ▼ 1 | Yes 98¢ No 2¢ |
| Above 3.50% | 99% | 0 | Yes 99¢ No 1¢ |
| Above 2.75% | 99% | ▲ 1 | Yes 99¢ No 1¢ |
| Above 3.75% | 98% | 0 | Yes 98¢ No 2¢ |
| Above 3.00% | 99% | ▲ 1 | Yes 99¢ No 1¢ |
| Above 4.00% | 83% | ▲ 2 | Yes 83¢ No 17¢ |
| Above 4.25% | 17% | ▼ 2 | Yes 17¢ No 83¢ |
| Above 4.50% | 4% | ▼ 2 | Yes 4¢ No 96¢ |
| Above 4.75% | 1% | ▼ 1 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 5.00% | 1% | ▼ 1 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Above 5.25% | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
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Researchers found that while wealth disparities narrowed somewhat, the ability to meet debt payments deteriorated significantly.
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If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 2.75% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Dec 9, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.