α
✦
Ken Paxton 40%James Talarico 61%Los Angeles D 43%Republican Party 40%Milwaukee 26%Democratic Party 61%Cleveland 11%Tampa Bay 23%
🏠 Home📝 Analysis📊 Markets🏆 Forecaster Leaderboard⭐ Alpha Picks💬 Community👁 My Watchlist🚀 Space🏦 Fed & Economy🏛 US Senate⚾ MLBAdmin
Fed & Economy · KXFED · Resolves Dec 16, 2026

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Showing: Above 2.75% · Resolves Dec 16, 2026
Above 2.75% · 99% chance▲ 1Updated just now
Feeds 2m ago · AI summary 2h ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
100%98%95%Sep 12Sep 28Oct 10

Stats

Volume$21.7K
24h volume$0
Open interest$6.6K
Days left59
Bid / ask98¢ / 100¢
Last98¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 3.50%99%0Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 3.25%98%▼ 1Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 2.75%99%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 3.75%98%0Yes 98¢ No 2¢
Above 3.00%99%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 4.00%83%▼ 5Yes 83¢ No 17¢
Above 4.25%17%▼ 2Yes 17¢ No 83¢
Above 4.50%5%▼ 1Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 5.00%1%▼ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.75%1%▼ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • @doubledragonhq: NY Fed SCE Sept 1y inflation expectations 3.9% (+0.3), highest since May 2023; 3y at 3.3%.
  • @ctxdesk: Cleveland Fed nowcast Sep core CPI +0.2% m/m, headline +0.5%.
  • Federal Reserve releases FOMC minutes from Sep 15-16, 2026 meeting.
Generated from news and X posts below · 2h ago