α
✦
Ken Paxton 38%James Talarico 63%Los Angeles D 46%Milwaukee 25%Republican Party 39%Democratic Party 62%Cleveland 10%Tampa Bay 21%
🏠 Home📝 Analysis📊 Markets🏆 Forecaster Leaderboard⭐ Alpha Picks💬 Community👁 My Watchlist🚀 Space🏦 Fed & Economy🏛 US Senate⚾ MLBAdmin
Fed & Economy · KXFED · Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Showing: Above 3.75% · Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Above 3.75% · 100% chance▲ 1Updated 2 min ago
Feeds 2m ago · AI summary 1h ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
100%93%85%
Sep 12Sep 25Oct 8

Stats

Volume$28.6K
24h volume$0
Open interest$18.7K
Days left17
Bid / ask99¢ / 100¢
Last99¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 3.75%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.25%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.00%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.50%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 2.75%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 4.00%17%0Yes 17¢ No 83¢
Above 4.75%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.50%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.00%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • Fed releases Sept 15-16 2026 FOMC minutes.
  • Fed survey shows one-year inflation outlook at highest since May 2023 (CNBC).
  • NY Fed attributes everyday inflation to tariffs (CNBC).
  • Treasury's Bessent hires Judy Shelton as advisor (CNBC).
Generated from news and X posts below · 1h ago