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Fed & Economy · KXFED · Resolves 11/4/2026

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

17%0Updated 2 min agoKalshi Yes · Above 4.00%
Feeds 1m · summary 44m
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
79%43%7%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$202.7K
24h volume$343
Open interest$61.6K
Days left18
Bid / ask16¢ / 17¢
Last17¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 3.25%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.50%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.00%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 2.75%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.75%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 4.00%17%0Yes 17¢ No 83¢
Above 4.50%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.00%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.75%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • Sept. FOMC minutes (out ~Oct. 7–8) are the main FedSpeak in view.
  • NY Fed: everyday-item inflation was entirely tariff-driven (CNBC).
  • Early-October X posts noted a shift away from an immediate hike.
  • CNBC flagged household debt stress unseen since the Great Recession.
Generated from news and X posts below · 44m ago