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Fed & Economy · KXFED · Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Showing: Above 5.00% · Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Above 5.00% · 1% chance0Updated 2 min ago
Feeds 1m ago · AI summary 41m ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
5%3%0%Sep 12Sep 21Oct 9

Stats

Volume$3.6K
24h volume$0
Open interest$3.5K
Days left17
Bid / ask0¢ / 1¢
Last1¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 3.75%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.00%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.25%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 3.50%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 2.75%100%▲ 1Yes 100¢ No 0¢
Above 4.00%17%▼ 1Yes 17¢ No 83¢
Above 4.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.50%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 4.75%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.00%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Above 5.25%1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • - Fed minutes: most participants assessed another increase in the federal funds target range.
  • - Waller: anticipates additional hikes to support timelier return of inflation to 2%.
  • - Core PCE revisions show sharper disinflation; 2026 annual core PCE at 3.0% after downward revisions.
  • - NY Fed: household inflation expectations increased at short- and medium-term horizons.
Generated from news and X posts below · 41m ago