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Fed & Economy ยท KXFEDDECISION ยท Resolves 3/10/2027

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

26%0Updated just nowKalshi Yes ยท Fed maintains rate
Feeds just now ยท summary 1h
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
49%33%17%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$248.8K
24h volume$106
Open interest$175.6K
Days left60
Bid / ask25ยข / 26ยข
Last26ยข

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Hike 25bps73%โ–ฒ 2Yes 73ยข No 27ยข
Fed maintains rate26%0Yes 26ยข No 74ยข
Hike >25bps3%0Yes 3ยข No 97ยข
Cut 25bps2%0Yes 2ยข No 98ยข
Cut >25bps1%0Yes 1ยข No 99ยข

Why it moved AI

  • Minutes showed officials viewing another hike as likely to fight inflation (The Hill; Florida Realtors).
  • Waller said more hikes are needed, with flexibility on the pace (Reuters).
  • Trump opened a probe into Fed Governor Lisa Cook (Al Jazeera).
  • NY Fed said tariffs accounted for inflation on many everyday items (CNBC).
Generated from news and X posts below ยท 1h ago