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Fed & Economy · KXRATECUTCOUNT · Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Showing: Exactly 11 cuts · Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Exactly 11 cuts · 0% chance0Updated 3 min ago
Feeds just now · AI summary 1h ago

Forecast

4%2%0%
Sep 12Oct 3Oct 11

Stats

Volume$216.0K
24h volume$0
Open interest$206.7K
Days left82
Bid / ask0¢ / 0¢
Last0¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Exactly 0 cuts96%▲ 1Yes 96¢ No 4¢
Exactly 1 cut4%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Exactly 2 cuts1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Exactly 19 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 13 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 18 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 12 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 3 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 6 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 9 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 4 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 10 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 17 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 7 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 5 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 14 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 11 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 8 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 20 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 15 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 16 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢

Why it moved AI

  • NYT: Fed raises interest rates for timelier inflation retreat
  • FOMC minutes from September 2026 released
  • Treasury's Bessent hires Judy Shelton as advisor
Generated from news and X posts below · 1h ago

News

CNBC Economy · 2d
Treasury's Bessent hires Trump's controversial former Fed board pick, Judy Shelton, as advisor

Shelton's controversial economic ideas led the Senate to block her nomination to the Fed. Now she's going to be a counselor to the Treasury secretary.

Benzinga · Aug 3
Could XRP Benefit if the Fed Pivots Again? One Macro Strategist Says Yes

Could XRP Benefit if the Fed Pivots Again? One Ma

Reason Magazine · Jun 29
Can the president fire anyone he wants? Yes, unless the target is part of the Federal Reserve.

Can the president fire anyone he wants? Yes, unless the target is par

PBS · Apr 21
WATCH: Kevin Warsh testifies in Senate Banking confirmation hearing for Fed chair

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwAFBVV95cUxPa3lzbEJWZHJKS2dKZHNGOTN0UDBkc2laMU9sWm84MVdPZkFkNGxkMlU1dDBleHVCLVE0aHNVQXdKTzVCYnEtWVRSYzZxOXF3SjRUcmJjNjgxR1JKMVdDX1lIQkdnbERtOTFYQVpfc2FOS2VHcjl0dHd5Yy1IbnhidUhSVDdncHpwRndpbFJlVFBiX1FkWWZQYjZCTk4wb0tBdnpjT2Zsb1B2QVRmRzVubG1CdUY0UGwzN2diSEpoSnjSAcYBQVVfeXFMTVEyZHl1YTN5d3NoUktCdFY2ejItLVdmeEhfZ0NJRkdlZUcxRGYwV0phZmthcXBvNDUzeHNMSFdZWF

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If the Fed cuts 11 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).