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Fed & Economy · KXRATECUTCOUNT · Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Showing: Exactly 13 cuts · Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Exactly 13 cuts · 0% chance0Updated 6 min ago
Feeds 1h ago · AI summary 5h ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
4%2%0%
Sep 12Oct 4Oct 10

Stats

Volume$284.0K
24h volume$0
Open interest$257.2K
Days left82
Bid / ask0¢ / 0¢
Last0¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Exactly 0 cuts96%▲ 1Yes 96¢ No 4¢
Exactly 1 cut4%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Exactly 2 cuts1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Exactly 19 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 13 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 18 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 12 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 3 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 6 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 9 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 4 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 10 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 17 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 7 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 5 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 14 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 11 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 8 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 20 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 15 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 16 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢

Why it moved AI

  • Odds are 0%; the recent move is unknown, so no price shift is documented.
  • Late-September to early-October posts describe a hawkish Fed after the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC.
  • A NY Fed note says inflation on many everyday items was entirely due to tariffs.
  • Sept. 15–16 FOMC minutes were released; other listed Fed items are not rate-cut signals.
Generated from news and X posts below · 5h ago

News

Norada Real Estate Investments · 2d
Fed Interest Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years: 2026 to 2031
Federal Reserve · 2d
Federal Reserve Board releases results of the 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances, which provides the public and policymakers with detailed insights into the economic condition of American families
CNBC Economy · 2d
Treasury's Bessent hires Trump's controversial former Fed board pick, Judy Shelton, as advisor

Shelton's controversial economic ideas led the Senate to block her nomination to the Fed. Now she's going to be a counselor to the Treasury secretary.

Federal Reserve · 3d
Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering
CNBC Economy · 3d
Inflation on many everyday items was entirely due to tariffs, NY Fed says

Tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to inflation in 67 categories of goods by February 2026, researchers at the New York Federal Reserve found.

CNBC Economy · 4d
Inflation fears on the rise as one-year outlook in Fed survey hits highest level since May 2023

The Survey of Consumer Expectations indicated that the median outlook for inflation over the next 12 months rose to 3.9%.

Federal Reserve · 4d
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, September 15-16, 2026
Federal Reserve · 6d
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Isabella Bank Corporation
Federal Reserve · 9d
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by Fleur Capital Corporation
Chase Bank · 13d
What makes the Federal Reserve decide to raise or lower interest rates?

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The New York Times · Sep 22
Fed Raises Interest Rates in Push for ‘Timelier’ Retreat in Inflation
Peter G. Peterson Foundation · Sep 16
Fed Raises Rates for First Time Since 2023 as Interest Costs Top $1 Trillion

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Forbes · Sep 16
Federal Funds Rate History 1990 to 2026
AP News · Sep 16
Federal Reserve hikes key rate for 1st time in 3 years, defying Trump demands for a cut
NBC News · Sep 16
Fed raises interest rates for first time since 2023, defying Trump as inflation mounts
PBS · Sep 15
WATCH: Warsh says 'inflation is too high' after Fed raises interest rate 1st time in 3 years

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivgFBVV95cUxNbG5TakU0X3dMbFJEZU9LRkkweWpLSC1HQnR0ZGZjSnBBMnhxeDJfeXpJbl9ETDVKajhrMnZIZy1hRUdpZFllY2VTbmROclRnbUk5TU9xalVmbUxkVEd5THdtaW9ReHpua1M0Q3RLdFlTOWQ3UGxkUmF0QjZELWhNSjRENm1FbGl1RWN2VHd4Y291RGdpN0RtRDdjdFJmSjFGcU5TQVRlT0w5T3o1TzZZSHAwMTRrUHZCLU9acUZB0gHDAUFVX3lxTFBFVmt4Z21jOVJHWklFdzlfMS1HOXVvdXRJdV9sZmhENW9OWDVrdVF3UHpuYk03VFZfVVB1V3pjLUtJaU

MUFG Research · Aug 20
August 2026 Fed & Rates Call Update

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If the Fed cuts 13 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).