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Fed & Economy · KXRATECUTCOUNT · Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Showing: Exactly 3 cuts · Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Exactly 3 cuts · 0% chance0Updated 3 min ago
Feeds 2h ago · AI summary 2h ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
5%3%0%Sep 12Oct 6Oct 11

Stats

Volume$663.9K
24h volume$9.7K
Open interest$362.1K
Days left82
Bid / ask0¢ / 0¢
Last0¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Exactly 0 cuts96%0Yes 96¢ No 4¢
Exactly 1 cut4%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Exactly 2 cuts1%▼ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Exactly 12 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 13 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 4 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 15 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 7 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 9 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 18 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 3 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 8 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 16 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 19 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 5 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 14 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 11 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 10 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 20 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 17 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 6 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢

Why it moved AI

  • Three-cut odds are at 0% as hawkish FedSpeak outweighs easing hopes.
  • Reuters: Musalem said tighter monetary policy is still needed to lower inflation.
  • FT flags September inflation as potentially locking in policy; CNBC cites NY Fed tariff-driven price pressure.
  • Cook probe and Shelton’s Treasury hire add Fed-politics noise, not evidence for three cuts.
Generated from news and X posts below · 2h ago