| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.5% | 11% | 0 | Yes 11¢ No 89¢ |
| Above 17% | 5% | ▼ 4 | Yes 5¢ No 95¢ |
| Above 4.8% | 5% | ▼ 2 | Yes 5¢ No 95¢ |
| Above 5% | 5% | ▲ 2 | Yes 5¢ No 95¢ |
| Above 12% | 3% | ▼ 2 | Yes 3¢ No 97¢ |
| Above 9% | 3% | ▼ 1 | Yes 3¢ No 97¢ |
| Above 8% | 2% | ▼ 2 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| Above 10% | 2% | ▼ 1 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| Above 5.5% | 4% | ▲ 1 | Yes 4¢ No 96¢ |
| Above 15% | 4% | ▲ 1 | Yes 4¢ No 96¢ |
| Above 6% | 4% | ▲ 3 | Yes 4¢ No 96¢ |
| Above 6.5% | 2% | 0 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| Above 7% | 2% | ▲ 1 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| Above 20% | 5% | ▲ 5 | Yes 5¢ No 95¢ |
No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.
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If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 4.8%, the market resolves to Yes.