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Fed & Economy · KXU3MAX · Resolves 3/9/2027

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

6%▲ 3Updated 9 min agoKalshi Yes · Above 5%
Feeds 1h · summary never

Forecast

16%9%2%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$344.3K
24h volume$5
Open interest$124.6K
Days left89
Bid / ask3¢ / 8¢
Last6¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 4.5%12%▲ 1Yes 12¢ No 88¢
Above 17%5%▼ 4Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 4.8%5%▼ 2Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 5%6%▲ 3Yes 6¢ No 94¢
Above 12%3%▼ 2Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 9%3%▼ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 8%3%▼ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 15%5%▲ 2Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 10%3%0Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 5.5%8%▲ 5Yes 8¢ No 92¢
Above 6.5%2%0Yes 2¢ No 98¢
Above 6%4%▲ 3Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 7%2%▲ 1Yes 2¢ No 98¢
Above 20%5%▲ 5Yes 5¢ No 95¢

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below

News

Federal Reserve · 2d
Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering

Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering

CNBC Economy · 2d
Inflation on many everyday items was entirely due to tariffs, NY Fed says

Tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to inflation in 67 categories of goods by February 2026, researchers at the New York Federal Reserve found.

CNBC Economy · 3d
Inflation fears on the rise as one-year outlook in Fed survey hits highest level since May 2023

The Survey of Consumer Expectations indicated that the median outlook for inflation over the next 12 months rose to 3.9%.

Investopedia · 12d
The College Majors With the Highest Unemployment Rates in Today’s Job Market - Investopedia

The College Majors With the Highest Unemployment Rates in Today’s Job Market  Investopedia

University of Fort Hare · Aug 17
OPINION | High unemployment rate in SA shows no sign of improvement - University of Fort Hare

OPINION | High unemployment rate in SA shows no sign of improvement  University of Fort Hare

Global News · Jul 24
High unemployment in Kelowna making it hard for young people to find work - Global News

High unemployment in Kelowna making it hard for young people to find work  Global News

CBC · Jul 3
London youth face some of the highest unemployment in Canada, but they aren't giving up - CBC

London youth face some of the highest unemployment in Canada, but they aren't giving up  CBC

CBC · May 8
Canada's economy dropped 18,000 jobs in April as unemployment rose to 6-month high - CBC

Canada's economy dropped 18,000 jobs in April as unemployment rose to 6-month high  CBC

Georgetown University · Apr 23
Congress Wanted to Protect People Living in Areas with High Unemployment from Losing Health Care Due to Work Reporting Requirements. Will it Actually Happen? - Georgetown University

Congress Wanted to Protect People Living in Areas with High Unemployment from Losing Health Care Due to Work Reporting Requirements. Will it Actually Happen?  Georgetown University

X Feed

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Rules

If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.