| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.5% | 14% | ▲ 3 | Yes 14¢ No 86¢ |
| Above 17% | 5% | ▼ 4 | Yes 5¢ No 95¢ |
| Above 4.8% | 5% | ▼ 2 | Yes 5¢ No 95¢ |
| Above 5% | 5% | ▲ 2 | Yes 5¢ No 95¢ |
| Above 12% | 3% | ▼ 2 | Yes 3¢ No 97¢ |
| Above 8% | 3% | ▼ 1 | Yes 3¢ No 97¢ |
| Above 9% | 3% | ▼ 1 | Yes 3¢ No 97¢ |
| Above 10% | 2% | ▼ 1 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| Above 15% | 2% | ▼ 1 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| Above 5.5% | 4% | ▲ 1 | Yes 4¢ No 96¢ |
| Above 6% | 4% | ▲ 3 | Yes 4¢ No 96¢ |
| Above 6.5% | 2% | 0 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| Above 7% | 2% | ▲ 1 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| Above 20% | 2% | ▲ 2 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
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Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering
Tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to inflation in 67 categories of goods by February 2026, researchers at the New York Federal Reserve found.
The Survey of Consumer Expectations indicated that the median outlook for inflation over the next 12 months rose to 3.9%.
The College Majors With the Highest Unemployment Rates in Today’s Job Market Investopedia
OPINION | High unemployment rate in SA shows no sign of improvement University of Fort Hare
High unemployment in Kelowna making it hard for young people to find work Global News
London youth face some of the highest unemployment in Canada, but they aren't giving up CBC
Canada's economy dropped 18,000 jobs in April as unemployment rose to 6-month high CBC
Congress Wanted to Protect People Living in Areas with High Unemployment from Losing Health Care Due to Work Reporting Requirements. Will it Actually Happen? Georgetown University
Alternative Measures of Labor Underutilization in West Virginia — 2025 Bureau of Labor Statistics (.gov)
Phantom Figures: Missing Data in October Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
**Recent X posts (late September to early October 2026) highlight a hawkish tilt from the FOMC amid sticky inflation, despite a steady labor market.**[[1]](https://x.com/xCubefi/status/2108223799174791262) Key themes include: - **FOMC minutes** (released ~Oct 7) showed unanimous support for the September rate **hike**, with most officials expecting at least one more by year-end due to insufficien
If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.