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Fed & Economy · KXU3MAX · Resolves Mar 9, 2027

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

Showing: Above 5.5% · Resolves Mar 9, 2027
Above 5.5% · 4% chance▲ 1Updated 1 min ago
Feeds 1h ago · AI summary 1h ago

Forecast

14%7%0%
Sep 12Oct 6Oct 11

Stats

Volume$7.7K
24h volume$0
Open interest$5.4K
Days left89
Bid / ask1¢ / 6¢
Last3¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 4.5%11%▼ 3Yes 11¢ No 89¢
Above 17%5%▼ 4Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 5%5%▲ 2Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 4.8%5%▼ 2Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 12%3%▼ 2Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 6%4%▲ 3Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 9%3%▼ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 8%3%▼ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 15%2%▼ 1Yes 2¢ No 98¢
Above 10%3%0Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 5.5%4%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 6.5%2%0Yes 2¢ No 98¢
Above 7%2%▲ 1Yes 2¢ No 98¢
Above 20%4%▲ 4Yes 4¢ No 96¢

Why it moved AI

  • Fed's Musalem: job market overall balanced and stable (@financialjuice)
  • Fed's Waller: September labor market solid and stable despite drop in job creation (@FirstSquawk)
  • Canada jobs fell 18k in April, unemployment at 6-month high (CBC)
Generated from news and X posts below · 1h ago