α
✦
Fed & Economy · KXRATECUTCOUNT · Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Showing: Exactly 15 cuts · Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Exactly 15 cuts · 0% chance0Updated just now
Feeds 6m ago · AI summary 1h ago

Forecast

5%3%0%
Sep 14Oct 5Oct 11

Stats

Volume$358.7K
24h volume$7.0K
Open interest$352.7K
Days left82
Bid / ask0¢ / 0¢
Last0¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Exactly 0 cuts96%▲ 1Yes 96¢ No 4¢
Exactly 1 cut4%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Exactly 2 cuts1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Exactly 19 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 13 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 18 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 12 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 3 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 6 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 9 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 4 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 10 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 17 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 7 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 5 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 14 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 11 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 8 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 20 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 15 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 16 cuts0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢

Why it moved AI

  • Fed's Musalem: inflation elevated, driven by persistent demand pressures and supply shocks (@LiveSquawk)
  • Musalem: current inflation level requires Fed to consider rate hikes, rates ought to be going up in next 6-9 months (@LiveSquawk)
  • Musalem signals more rate hikes may be needed (@DeItaone)
  • Musalem: economy pretty strong, best thing Fed can do is lower inflation (@financialjuice)
Generated from news and X posts below · 1h ago