Number of rate cuts in 2026?

1%▼ 1Updated 1 min agoKalshi Yes · Exactly 2 cuts

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24h volume$4.1K

Open interest$450.7K

Days left82

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Outcomes

Outcome	Chance	24h	Price
Exactly 0 cuts	95%	▼ 1	Yes 95¢ No 5¢
Exactly 1 cut	4%	▲ 1	Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Exactly 2 cuts	1%	▼ 1	Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Exactly 12 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 3 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 7 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 4 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 13 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 5 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 14 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 18 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 16 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 8 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 15 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 19 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 11 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 20 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 10 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 6 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 17 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Exactly 9 cuts	0%	0	Yes 0¢ No 100¢

Fed's Musalem said tighter policy is needed to lower inflation, a hawkish case against multiple cuts (Reuters).
Financial Times asked whether September inflation will cement the rate path for the rest of the year.
NY Fed research tied inflation on many everyday items entirely to tariffs, keeping price pressure in focus (CNBC).

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