| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.5% | 11% | 0 | Yes 11¢ No 89¢ |
| Above 17% | 5% | ▼ 4 | Yes 5¢ No 95¢ |
| Above 4.8% | 5% | ▼ 2 | Yes 5¢ No 95¢ |
| Above 5% | 5% | ▲ 2 | Yes 5¢ No 95¢ |
| Above 12% | 3% | ▼ 2 | Yes 3¢ No 97¢ |
| Above 9% | 3% | ▼ 1 | Yes 3¢ No 97¢ |
| Above 8% | 3% | ▼ 1 | Yes 3¢ No 97¢ |
| Above 15% | 3% | 0 | Yes 3¢ No 97¢ |
| Above 10% | 3% | 0 | Yes 3¢ No 97¢ |
| Above 5.5% | 4% | ▲ 1 | Yes 4¢ No 96¢ |
| Above 6% | 4% | ▲ 3 | Yes 4¢ No 96¢ |
| Above 6.5% | 2% | 0 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| Above 7% | 2% | ▲ 1 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| Above 20% | 4% | ▲ 4 | Yes 4¢ No 96¢ |
Tariffs added 2.9 percentage points to inflation in 67 categories of goods by February 2026, researchers at the New York Federal Reserve found.
The Survey of Consumer Expectations indicated that the median outlook for inflation over the next 12 months rose to 3.9%.
University of Fort
Global New
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimgJBVV95cUxPT3p1alpxVjM2TFBQZUttdndhMUFzTnpOS0ZTT01iTXFUUVl5eG1nMGE3NDRLVVhOdzF1V29pRkcxN2doNV9FWTFHLXhYVUF5T1BQMG9aTnZydmlvVDJrU19GSm95ZG92VGExTkZ2dy1UNnJ4bUMxQVQ5TVgxOWxIUFg0aWZ0QnBhbzFLY3N6bTJqTUUwa0hBNkZuUzVZcmZ5VXcwdUVaR0UtRjdJUV9MOUVKUm5EN2dhY0tiU1hlbUpydjlTVnlTR055cUZ1TU01YXVtRU1KSFItejAyYXZvaWlFUVc2NWxndjljQk8yZHN2ZzdlcEVkSkpRY01QYWVlRDN6VV
No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).
If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 6%, the market resolves to Yes.